What is business cycle?

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gesi
Posts: 36
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2010 2:13 pm

What is business cycle?

Post by gesi »

The business cycle is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic activity, measured by fluctuations in real GDP and other macroeconomic variables. If you're looking for information on how various economic indicators and their relationship to the business cycle, please see A Beginner's Guide to Economic Indicators. Parkin and Bade go on to explain: A business cycle is not a regular, predictable, or repeating phenomenon like the swing of the pendulum of a clock. Its timing is random and, to a large degress, unpredictable. A business cycle is identified as a sequence of four phases:

* Contraction (A slowdown in the pace of economic activity)
* Trough (The lower turning point of a business cycle, where a contraction turns into an expansion)
* Expansion (A speedup in the pace of economic activity)
* Peak (The upper turning of a business cycle)
preza
Posts: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2010 12:28 pm

Re: What is business cycle?

Post by preza »

The recurring and fluctuating levels of economic activity that an economy experiences over a long period of time. The five stages of the business cycle are growth (expansion), peak, recession (contraction), trough and recovery. At one time, business cycles were thought to be extremely regular, with predictable durations, but today they are widely believed to be irregular, varying in frequency, magnitude and duration.

The term business cycle (or economic cycle) refers to economy-wide fluctuations in production or economic activity over several months or years. These fluctuations occur around a long-term growth trend, and typically involve shifts over time between periods of relatively rapid economic growth (expansion or boom), and periods of relative stagnation or decline (contraction or recession).
ezhel
Posts: 39
Joined: Sat Jul 10, 2010 6:00 pm

Re: What is business cycle?

Post by ezhel »

The business cycle is related to aggregate economic activity, a popular indicator of the business cycle in the U.S. is the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The financial media generally considers two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth to indicate a recession. Used as such, the GDP is a quick and simple indicator of economic contractions.

However, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) weighs GDP relatively low as a primary business cycle indicator because GDP is subject to frequent revision and it is reported only on a quarterly basis (the business cycle is tracked on a monthly basis). The NBER relies primarily on indicators such as the following:

* employment
* personal income
* industrial production

Additionally, indicators such as manufacturing and trade sales are used as measures of economic activity.
seddy
Posts: 25
Joined: Tue Jul 13, 2010 7:36 am

Re: What is business cycle?

Post by seddy »

The term business cycle (or economic cycle) refers to economy-wide fluctuations in production or economic activity over several months or years. These fluctuations occur around a long-term growth trend, and typically involve shifts over time between periods of relatively rapid economic growth (expansion or boom), and periods of relative stagnation or decline (contraction or recession).
claudia123
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Re: What is business cycle?

Post by claudia123 »

The business cycle has become less intense has practical importance because after World War II the U.S. government initiated policies with the intent to minimize the severity of economic contractions, so a decrease in the intensity of the contractions would support the arguments of those who advocate such policies. Whether the business cycle really has declined in severity is a question that remains open to debate.
deser
Posts: 19
Joined: Wed Jul 21, 2010 12:37 pm

Re: What is business cycle?

Post by deser »

The pattern followed by macroeconomic variables, such as GDP and unemployment that rise and fall irregularly over time, relative to trend. There is some tendency for cyclical movements of large countries to cause similar movements in other countries with whom they trade.
jack123
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Location: U.K.
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Re: What is business cycle?

Post by jack123 »

Hi

The business cycle is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic activity, measured by fluctuations in real GDP and other macroeconomic variables. The recurring and fluctuating levels of economic activity that an economy experiences over a long period of time. The five stages of the business cycle are growth (expansion), peak, recession (contraction), trough and recovery. At one time, business cycles were thought to be extremely regular, with predictable durations, but today they are widely believed to be irregular, varying in frequency, magnitude and duration. The business cycle has become less intense has practical importance because after World War II the U.S. government initiated policies with the intent to minimize the severity of economic contractions, so a decrease in the intensity of the contractions would support the arguments of those who advocate such policies.

Thanks
diana123
Posts: 20
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2010 4:39 pm
Location: uk
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Re: What is business cycle?

Post by diana123 »

The term business cycle (or economic cycle) refers to economy-wide fluctuations in production or economic activity over several months or years. These fluctuations occur around a long-term growth trend, and typically involve shifts over time between periods of relatively rapid economic growth (expansion or boom), and periods of relative stagnation or decline (contraction or recession).

These fluctuations are often measured using the growth rate of real gross domestic product. Despite being termed cycles, most of these fluctuations in economic activity do not follow a mechanical or predictable periodic pattern.
smith36
Posts: 18
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2010 10:22 pm
Location: U.K.
Contact:

Re: What is business cycle?

Post by smith36 »

Hi

The business cycle is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic activity, measured by fluctuations in real GDP and other macroeconomic variables. If you're looking for information on how various economic indicators and their relationship to the business cycle, please see A Beginner's Guide to Economic Indicators. Parkin and Bade go on to explain: A business cycle is not a regular, predictable, or repeating phenomenon like the swing of the pendulum of a clock. Its timing is random and, to a large degress, unpredictable. A business cycle is identified as a sequence of four phases:

* Contraction (A slowdown in the pace of economic activity)
* Trough (The lower turning point of a business cycle, where a contraction turns into an expansion)
* Expansion (A speedup in the pace of economic activity)
* Peak (The upper turning of a business cycle)

Thanks
pretty
Posts: 27
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:57 am

Re: What is business cycle?

Post by pretty »

A business cycle is not a regular, predictable, or repeating phenomenon like the swing of the pendulum of a clock. Its timing is random and, to a large degress, unpredictable. A business cycle is identified as a sequence of four phases:

* Contraction (A slowdown in the pace of economic activity)
* Trough (The lower turning point of a business cycle, where a contraction turns into an expansion)
* Expansion (A speedup in the pace of economic activity)
* Peak (The upper turning of a business cycle)
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